Cosmology Views

LIGO Detection Statistics

LIGO claims to detect gravitational waves from distant mergers of a pair of massive objects.
LIGO actually detects the wave in the crust caused by a terrestrial event involving the Moon or Sun.

There are the 5 celestial events which LIGO detects here on Earth: Full Moon, New Moon, Perigee, Perihelion, and a unique Moon-Jupiter conjunction.
As the Earth rotates these events cause a wave in Earth's crust, called an earth tide.

AllĀ  wave detections by LIGO are analyzed to determine the two bodies involved in the merger  causing the wave and the approximate location in the sky for this merger. Probabilities are assigned to the possible combinations. The 2 candidates are a black hole or neutron star. The merger will be one of the 4 combinations of the 2 candidates. In some cases the probabilities are not high enough to be considered 'robust' but some events meet the robust criteria set by LIGO.

A wave detection on August 17, 2017 was robust and apparently confirmed so LIGO was awarded the 2017 Nobel Prize in Physics for this achievement.

However all LIGO detections are associated with these 5 celestial events.
The following includes statistics of the events.

These include LIGO detections through  December 18, 2019

When one of these 5 events resulted in a wave detection by LIGO in the range of 2 days before to 2 days after that result will be counted as DW2 (detection within 2 days).

When one of these 5 events resulted in a wave detection by LIGO in the range of 8 days before to 2 days after that result will be counted as DW8 (detection within 8 days).

When one of these 5 events resulted in a gravitational wave detection with an assigned merger source that result will be counted as DGW (detection of Gravitational Wave).

These are the distributions of LIGO wave detections, with and without an identified merger source.
GraceDB lists all the O3 wave detections while Wikipedia list so here are all the gravitational wave detections (with an assigned source) since 2015.

Each terrestrial source is listed with its counts.

Full Moon =10x
DW2 = 16x
DW8 = 27x
DGW = 19x

New Moon = 9x
DW2 = 15x
DW8 = 21x
DGW = 18x

Perigee = 8x
DW2 = 7x
DW8 = 14x
DGW = 12x

(note: there were more perigee events than 8 but others coincided with a FM or NM so the overlap detections were counted with the FM or NM).

Perihelion = 1x
DW2 = 1x
DW8 = 1x
DGW = 1x

Moon-Jupiter conjunction = 1x
DW2 = 1x
DW8 = 2x
DGW = 2x

Conclusions:
a) Each perihelion, or Moon-Jupiter conjunction has resulted in a claim of a GW with an assigned merger as the distant source.
b) Each perigee has resulted in 1 or 2 claims of a GW  with an assigned merger as the distant source.

c) Each full moon or new moon has resulted in 1 or more claims of a GW  with an assigned merger as the distant source.

These are not just coincidences. These are the triggers for LIGO.
A gravitational wave is undefined with no explanation no medium defined for this undefined wave. A gravitational wave is just theoretical with no description in terms of physics.

LIGO is detecting the wave from a terrestrial source and not from a distant astrophysical source as claimed.

On November 10, 2019,  I predicted gravitational wave detections in a 5-day span based on a full moon and 2 wave detections followed in the next 7 hours, confirming a wave from a moon event is detected as a gravitational wave by LIGO.
The above statistics indicate an incredible coincidence if another source is claimed (like by LIGO).  LIGO has never proven their claims. LIGO really detects ripples from earth tides.


updated 12/22/2019